Home › League stats › Premiership › Larne vs Linfield
Premiership · Northern Ireland
Larne vs Linfield prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Larne host Linfield in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Larne 1–2 Linfield.
Going into the match, Larne had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Linfield had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Larne's last 10 and 4 of Linfield's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Larne averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Linfield averaged 2.13 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Larne and 1.16 from Linfield. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Larne (green) and Linfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Linfield 0–2 Larne
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Larne Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.