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Cup · Belgium
KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KV Mechelen host AS Eupen in the Cup (Belgium) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KV Mechelen 5–1 AS Eupen.
Going into the match, KV Mechelen had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. AS Eupen had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of KV Mechelen's last 10 and 7 of AS Eupen's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KV Mechelen averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home AS Eupen averaged 2.20 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from KV Mechelen and 2.03 from AS Eupen. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 48%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KV Mechelen (green) and AS Eupen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | WLDLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 40% | 50% |
| AS Eupen | WWWWW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| KV Mechelen Win | 54% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- St. Truiden vs Lommel United · 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: St. Truiden Win @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Union St. Gilloise vs Nijlen · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Rochefort vs Gent · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.50