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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International

Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21 prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 4–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kosovo U21 host Finland U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kosovo U21 4–4 Finland U21.

Going into the match, Kosovo U21 had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Finland U21 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4, with 9 scored and 2 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Kosovo U21's last 7 and 2 of Finland U21's last 4; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kosovo U21 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Finland U21 averaged 2.33 scored and 0.33 conceded across 3.

The 1X2 prices imply about 22% for Kosovo U21, 26% for the draw and 51% for Finland U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kosovo U21 (green) and Finland U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form35% – 65%
Attack25% – 75%
Defence20% – 80%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Overall strength29% – 70%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Kosovo U21WWLLL1.001.4343%71%
Finland U21WWWW2.250.5050%50%

Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X277%1.22
Over 1.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS No54%1.73
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.75
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
Finland U21 Win51%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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