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1. SNL · Slovenia
Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Koper host Brinje-Grosuplje in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Koper 5–0 Brinje-Grosuplje.
Going into the match, Koper had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Brinje-Grosuplje had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Koper's last 10 and 8 of Brinje-Grosuplje's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Koper averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Brinje-Grosuplje averaged 1.40 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Koper and 0.88 from Brinje-Grosuplje. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 12%, against 54%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Koper (green) and Brinje-Grosuplje (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | DWWWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | LWLLW | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 Koper
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Koper Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. SNL matches that day
- Maribor vs Celje · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. SNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44