Home › League stats › PFL › Kaya vs Manila Digger
PFL · Philippines
Kaya vs Manila Digger prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kaya host Manila Digger in the PFL (Philippines) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kaya 0–1 Manila Digger.
Going into the match, Kaya had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Manila Digger had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kaya's last 10 and 5 of Manila Digger's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kaya averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Manila Digger averaged 2.73 scored and 0.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Kaya and 1.54 from Manila Digger. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 54%, against 22%, 22% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kaya (green) and Manila Digger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaya | WWWLL | 2.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 90% |
| Manila Digger | WWWWW | 2.20 | 0.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 May 2026 · Kaya 0–3 Manila Digger
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Manila Digger Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Manila Digger HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-2 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.