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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands

Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Katwijk host Ijsselmeervogels in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Katwijk 1–2 Ijsselmeervogels.

Going into the match, Katwijk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Ijsselmeervogels had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Katwijk's last 10 and 3 of Ijsselmeervogels's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Katwijk averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ijsselmeervogels averaged 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Katwijk and 1.83 from Ijsselmeervogels. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 37%, 24% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Katwijk (green) and Ijsselmeervogels (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%
Attack42% – 58%
Defence25% – 75%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals86% – 14%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KatwijkLLWLD1.302.1060%60%
IjsselmeervogelsLWLWL1.201.1030%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No71%1.28
BTTS Yes66%1.39
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals57%1.63
Over 10.5 Corners56%1.67
Ijsselmeervogels Win39%2.30
Draw25%3.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Tweede Divisie matches that day