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Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kasımpaşa host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kasımpaşa had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Beşiktaş had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kasımpaşa's last 10 and 7 of Beşiktaş's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kasımpaşa averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Beşiktaş averaged 1.20 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Kasımpaşa and 1.12 from Beşiktaş. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 34%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kasımpaşa (green) and Beşiktaş (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Beşiktaş Win | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Başakşehir vs Samsunspor · 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK · 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Trabzonspor Win @ 1.33 - Amed vs Eyüpspor · 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Amed Win @ 1.27