Başakşehir vs Samsunspor prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.22Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Başakşehir host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Başakşehir to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Başakşehir had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Samsunspor had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Başakşehir's last 10 and 4 of Samsunspor's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Başakşehir averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Samsunspor averaged 1.00 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Başakşehir and 0.84 from Samsunspor. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 52%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Başakşehir (green) and Samsunspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence65% – 35%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals83% – 17%

Overall strength74% – 25%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Başakşehir	LWDWL	1.20	1.60	40%	50%
Samsunspor	LLLLL	0.80	2.40	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 May 2026 · Başakşehir 3–0 Samsunspor

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Başakşehir Win	53%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.