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Cup · Croatia
Karlovac 1919 vs HNK Rijeka prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karlovac 1919 host HNK Rijeka in the Cup (Croatia) on 20 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Karlovac 1919 1–4 HNK Rijeka.
Going into the match, Karlovac 1919 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. HNK Rijeka had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Karlovac 1919's last 10 and 6 of HNK Rijeka's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karlovac 1919 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 16 matches; away from home HNK Rijeka averaged 1.41 scored and 1.00 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Karlovac 1919 and 2.62 from HNK Rijeka. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 76%, against 8%, 14% and 78% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karlovac 1919 (green) and HNK Rijeka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovac 1919 | WWDLW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| HNK Rijeka | WLLWW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| HNK Rijeka HT & FT | 60% | 1.57 |
| HNK Rijeka 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.