Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 79%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kalju Nomme host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Kalju Nomme had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Kuressaare had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Kalju Nomme's last 10 and 4 of Kuressaare's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kalju Nomme averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Kuressaare averaged 1.47 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Kalju Nomme and 0.94 from Kuressaare. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kalju Nomme (green) and Kuressaare (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals100% – 0%

Overall strength62% – 38%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kalju Nomme	WWLDL	1.50	1.50	60%	70%
Kuressaare	DLLWW	1.20	1.40	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

19 Jul 2026 · Kuressaare 0–0 Kalju Nomme
17 May 2026 · Kuressaare 0–2 Kalju Nomme

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	79%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Kalju Nomme Win	64%	1.42
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.60
BTTS Yes	54%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.