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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flora Tallinn host Trans Narva in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Flora Tallinn -1.5 Asian Handicap — Flora Tallinn -1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Flora Tallinn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 18. Trans Narva had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Flora Tallinn's last 10 and 6 of Trans Narva's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flora Tallinn averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Trans Narva averaged 0.47 scored and 2.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Flora Tallinn and 0.87 from Trans Narva. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 15%, against 79%, 13% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flora Tallinn (green) and Trans Narva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | WLLWL | 2.50 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Trans Narva | LLLLD | 0.80 | 2.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Trans Narva 2–2 Flora Tallinn
- 16 May 2026 · Trans Narva 0–3 Flora Tallinn
- 5 May 2026 · Flora Tallinn 1–0 Trans Narva
- 22 Apr 2026 · Flora Tallinn 6–0 Trans Narva
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Flora Tallinn 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Flora Tallinn HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 1.80 |
| Flora Tallinn Win & BTTS | 33% | 2.60 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Meistriliiga matches that day
- Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare · 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20