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Primera A · Colombia
Junior vs Águilas Doradas prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Junior host Águilas Doradas in the Primera A (Colombia) on 24 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Junior had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Águilas Doradas had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Junior's last 10 and 6 of Águilas Doradas's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Junior averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Águilas Doradas averaged 1.36 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Junior and 1.46 from Águilas Doradas. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Junior (green) and Águilas Doradas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | DDDLL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Águilas Doradas | WDDWL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Águilas Doradas 0–3 Junior
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Junior Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Chico vs Bucaramanga · 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36