Chico vs Bucaramanga prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 69%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chico host Bucaramanga in the Primera A (Colombia) on 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Chico had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Bucaramanga had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Chico's last 10 and 8 of Bucaramanga's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chico averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bucaramanga averaged 1.27 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Chico and 1.77 from Bucaramanga. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 56%, against 25%, 28% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chico (green) and Bucaramanga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength36% – 63%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Chico	LLLDW	1.10	1.50	40%	60%
Bucaramanga	DDWWW	1.90	1.00	80%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

13 Apr 2026 · Bucaramanga 5–0 Chico

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	74%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Bucaramanga Win	46%	2.00
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.