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K4 League · South Korea
Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jincheon host Jinju Citizen in the K4 League (South Korea) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Jincheon had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Jinju Citizen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Jincheon's last 10 and 6 of Jinju Citizen's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jincheon averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Jinju Citizen averaged 2.09 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Jincheon and 1.34 from Jinju Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 44%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jincheon (green) and Jinju Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon | DWDLW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
| Jinju Citizen | LDWLD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Jinju Citizen 2–6 Jincheon
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.97 |
| Jincheon Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Jincheon HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K4 League matches that day
- Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Sejong SA +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22