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K4 League · South Korea
Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gijang United host Geoje Citizen in the K4 League (South Korea) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Geoje Citizen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gijang United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 21. Geoje Citizen had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gijang United's last 10 and 2 of Geoje Citizen's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gijang United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Geoje Citizen averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Gijang United and 2.14 from Geoje Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 57%, against 26%, 23% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gijang United (green) and Geoje Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijang United | LLWWL | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
| Geoje Citizen | WWWDW | 1.90 | 0.90 | 20% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Geoje Citizen 4–2 Gijang United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Geoje Citizen Win | 55% | 1.75 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K4 League matches that day
- Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Sejong SA +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K4 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals