Jezero vs Petrovac prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.50Market probability 61%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Jezero host Petrovac in the First League (Montenegro) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Jezero to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Jezero had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Petrovac had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Jezero's last 10 and 5 of Petrovac's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jezero averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Petrovac averaged 0.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Jezero and 0.88 from Petrovac. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Jezero (green) and Petrovac (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence48% – 52%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals29% – 71%

Overall strength47% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Jezero	DWDLD	1.60	1.90	60%	70%
Petrovac	LWLLL	1.10	1.20	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · Petrovac 3–0 Jezero
12 Apr 2026 · Jezero 1–1 Petrovac

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.32
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.67
BTTS Yes	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.15
Jezero Win	32%	2.70
Draw	30%	3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.