Bokelj vs Dečić prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.40Market probability 64%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bokelj host Dečić in the First League (Montenegro) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Bokelj to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Bokelj had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Dečić had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Bokelj's last 10 and 3 of Dečić's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bokelj averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Dečić averaged 0.77 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Bokelj and 0.60 from Dečić. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 23%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bokelj (green) and Dečić (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form78% – 22%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength67% – 32%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Bokelj	LDWDW	0.80	1.00	30%	30%
Dečić	LDDLD	1.00	0.80	30%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

17 Aug 2026 · Dečić 1–0 Bokelj
24 May 2026 · Bokelj 1–0 Dečić

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	70%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.29
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	63%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
BTTS No	51%	1.78
Over 2.5 Goals	42%	2.25
Bokelj Win	34%	2.55
Draw	29%	3.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.