JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 69%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

JEF United Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League (Japan) on 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, JEF United Chiba had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Avispa Fukuoka had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of JEF United Chiba's last 10 and 6 of Avispa Fukuoka's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home JEF United Chiba averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Avispa Fukuoka averaged 1.08 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from JEF United Chiba and 1.06 from Avispa Fukuoka. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between JEF United Chiba (green) and Avispa Fukuoka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals53% – 47%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
JEF United Chiba	DLDDL	1.30	1.40	60%	40%
Avispa Fukuoka	LLLLW	0.70	1.60	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 Jun 2026 · JEF United Chiba 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May 2026 · Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 JEF United Chiba

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	51%	1.91
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.