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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland

Jarosław vs Czarni Połaniec prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.34Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Jarosław host Czarni Połaniec in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Jarosław to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Jarosław had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 17. Czarni Połaniec had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Jarosław's last 10 and 5 of Czarni Połaniec's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jarosław averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Czarni Połaniec averaged 1.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.53 goals from Jarosław and 1.44 from Czarni Połaniec. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 20%, against 43%, 23% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Jarosław (green) and Czarni Połaniec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence27% – 73%
Head-to-head100% – 0%
Goals80% – 20%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
JarosławLDWLW2.501.7080%90%
Czarni PołaniecWDLWW1.601.5050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

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