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Second League · Egypt
Itesalat vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Itesalat host Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Second League (Egypt) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Itesalat to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Itesalat 0–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
Going into the match, Itesalat had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Itesalat's last 10 and 5 of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Itesalat averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Baladiyyat Al Mehalla averaged 0.86 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Itesalat and 0.66 from Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 31% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Itesalat (green) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itesalat | WLWWL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | WLWDL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| Itesalat Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Itesalat HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
| 1-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- AL Nasr SC vs El Dakhleya · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Dayrout vs El Seka El Hadid · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.67 · FT 1–5 - Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat vs Kahraba Ismailia · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Mega Sport vs Tanta SC · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 2–2