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Second League · Egypt
AL Nasr SC vs El Dakhleya prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AL Nasr SC host El Dakhleya in the Second League (Egypt) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AL Nasr SC 2–2 El Dakhleya.
Going into the match, AL Nasr SC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. El Dakhleya had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AL Nasr SC's last 9 and 5 of El Dakhleya's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AL Nasr SC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home El Dakhleya averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from AL Nasr SC and 0.87 from El Dakhleya. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 49%, 31% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AL Nasr SC (green) and El Dakhleya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Nasr SC | WDWWL | 1.44 | 0.78 | 67% | 33% |
| El Dakhleya | LLWWL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| AL Nasr SC Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| AL Nasr SC HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 1-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- Dayrout vs El Seka El Hadid · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.67 · FT 1–5 - Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat vs Kahraba Ismailia · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Itesalat vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Mega Sport vs Tanta SC · 22 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 2–2