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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Iskra Smolensk host Murom in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Iskra Smolensk 1–4 Murom.
Going into the match, Iskra Smolensk had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Murom had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Iskra Smolensk's last 10 and 3 of Murom's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Iskra Smolensk averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Murom averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.55 goals from Iskra Smolensk and 2.41 from Murom. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 78%, against 16%, 15% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Iskra Smolensk (green) and Murom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra Smolensk | LWWWD | 1.00 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Murom | WWWWW | 1.80 | 0.60 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Murom 6–0 Iskra Smolensk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| Murom Win | 69% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.03 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 32% | 2.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.