Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Isidro Metapán WinOdds 1.44Market probability 63%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Isidro Metapán host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Isidro Metapán Win — Isidro Metapán to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Isidro Metapán 3–2 Fuerte San Francisco.

Going into the match, Isidro Metapán had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Fuerte San Francisco had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Isidro Metapán's last 10 and 5 of Fuerte San Francisco's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Isidro Metapán averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fuerte San Francisco averaged 0.82 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Isidro Metapán and 0.85 from Fuerte San Francisco. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Isidro Metapán (green) and Fuerte San Francisco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%

Attack58% – 42%

Defence54% – 46%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Isidro Metapán	LWWDW	1.20	1.20	40%	50%
Fuerte San Francisco	WDLDD	0.70	1.70	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · Fuerte San Francisco 1–0 Isidro Metapán
26 Apr 2026 · Isidro Metapán 1–3 Fuerte San Francisco

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Isidro Metapán Win	64%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.44
BTTS No	53%	1.70
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals	48%	1.95
Isidro Metapán HT & FT	42%	2.20
1-0	14%	6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.