Home › League stats › Primera Division › Cacahuatique vs Alianza
Primera Division · El Salvador
Cacahuatique vs Alianza prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cacahuatique host Alianza in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Alianza to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cacahuatique 0–0 Alianza.
Going into the match, Cacahuatique had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Alianza had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cacahuatique's last 10 and 8 of Alianza's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cacahuatique averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Alianza averaged 1.00 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Cacahuatique and 1.40 from Alianza. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 27%, 27% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cacahuatique (green) and Alianza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacahuatique | LLWLD | 0.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Alianza | DLDWD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Alianza 0–0 Cacahuatique
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.77 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Alianza Win | 44% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Division matches that day
- Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera Division
Published pick: Isidro Metapán Win @ 1.44 · FT 3–2