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Primera Premier · Mexico
Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter Playa del Carmen host Deportiva Venados in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter Playa del Carmen 3–1 Deportiva Venados.
Going into the match, Inter Playa del Carmen had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Deportiva Venados had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Inter Playa del Carmen's last 8 and 7 of Deportiva Venados's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter Playa del Carmen averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Deportiva Venados averaged 1.67 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Inter Playa del Carmen and 1.91 from Deportiva Venados. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 32%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter Playa del Carmen (green) and Deportiva Venados (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Playa del Carmen | LDLLL | 0.63 | 1.50 | 25% | 38% |
| Deportiva Venados | DDWDD | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Deportiva Venados Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.