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Reserve League · Argentina

Instituto Res. vs River Plate Res. prediction and preview

13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.36Market probability 66%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Instituto Res. host River Plate Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — River Plate Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Instituto Res. 3–2 River Plate Res..

Going into the match, Instituto Res. had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. River Plate Res. had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Instituto Res.'s last 10 and 6 of River Plate Res.'s last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Instituto Res. averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home River Plate Res. averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Instituto Res. and 1.74 from River Plate Res.. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 51%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Instituto Res. (green) and River Plate Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form30% – 70%
Attack46% – 54%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head38% – 62%
Goals44% – 56%
Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Instituto Res.DDLLD1.501.5070%50%
River Plate Res.DWDDD1.601.0060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match