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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Independiente F.b.c. vs Atlético Tembetary prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Independiente F.b.c. host Atlético Tembetary in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Independiente F.b.c. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Independiente F.b.c. 3–0 Atlético Tembetary.
Going into the match, Independiente F.b.c. had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Atlético Tembetary had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Independiente F.b.c.'s last 10 and 7 of Atlético Tembetary's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Independiente F.b.c. averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Atlético Tembetary averaged 1.38 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Independiente F.b.c. and 1.30 from Atlético Tembetary. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Independiente F.b.c. (green) and Atlético Tembetary (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente F.b.c. | WDLWW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Atlético Tembetary | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jul 2026 · Atlético Tembetary 2–2 Independiente F.b.c.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.74 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Independiente F.b.c. Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.