Home › League stats › Division 2 - Norrland › IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå
Division 2 - Norrland · Sweden
IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IFK Östersund host IFK Luleå in the Division 2 - Norrland (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — IFK Östersund to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IFK Östersund 2–2 IFK Luleå.
Going into the match, IFK Östersund had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 17. IFK Luleå had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of IFK Östersund's last 10 and 7 of IFK Luleå's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IFK Östersund averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home IFK Luleå averaged 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from IFK Östersund and 1.57 from IFK Luleå. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%, against 47%, 23% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IFK Östersund (green) and IFK Luleå (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Östersund | LWWLW | 2.80 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| IFK Luleå | WWWWL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · IFK Luleå 4–3 IFK Östersund
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.74 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| IFK Östersund Win | 47% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 1.98 |
| IFK Östersund HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 2 - Norrland matches that day
- Boden vs Lucksta · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 2–5 - Gottne vs Täfteå · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Skellefteå vs Kubikenborg · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–5