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Division 2 - Norrland · Sweden
Boden vs Lucksta prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boden host Lucksta in the Division 2 - Norrland (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Boden 2–5 Lucksta.
Going into the match, Boden had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Lucksta had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Boden's last 10 and 8 of Lucksta's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boden averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lucksta averaged 1.58 scored and 2.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Boden and 1.93 from Lucksta. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 44%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boden (green) and Lucksta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Lucksta 3–0 Boden
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.63 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 2 - Norrland matches that day
- Gottne vs Täfteå · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.34 · FT 2–2 - Skellefteå vs Kubikenborg · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Division 2 - Norrland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–5