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Paulista - U20 · Brazil

Ibrachina U20 vs Capivariano U20 prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Ibrachina U20 WinOdds 1.44Market probability 61%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ibrachina U20 host Capivariano U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ibrachina U20 Win — Ibrachina U20 to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ibrachina U20 1–1 Capivariano U20.

Going into the match, Ibrachina U20 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Capivariano U20 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Ibrachina U20's last 10 and 5 of Capivariano U20's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ibrachina U20 averaged 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Capivariano U20 averaged 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Ibrachina U20 and 0.76 from Capivariano U20. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 16%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ibrachina U20 (green) and Capivariano U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ibrachina U20LWDWD1.600.9040%60%
Capivariano U20WWLDW1.400.8050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.44
Ibrachina U20 Win61%1.44
Over 9.5 Corners54%1.73
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.80
BTTS No51%1.81
Under 2.5 Goals48%2.00
Ibrachina U20 HT & FT42%2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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