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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh host Song Lam Nghe An in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2–2 Song Lam Nghe An.
Going into the match, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Song Lam Nghe An had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 10 and 5 of Song Lam Nghe An's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Song Lam Nghe An averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 1.08 from Song Lam Nghe An. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 34%, against 55%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (green) and Song Lam Nghe An (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | WDWLL | 0.70 | 0.90 | 20% | 20% |
| Song Lam Nghe An | DWWWL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh Win | 54% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other V.League 1 matches that day
- Da Nang vs Hai Phong · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · V.League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.24 · FT 1–5 - Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · V.League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25