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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Thanh Hóa host Nam Dinh in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Thanh Hóa 0–2 Nam Dinh.
Going into the match, Thanh Hóa had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Nam Dinh had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Thanh Hóa's last 10 and 5 of Nam Dinh's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Thanh Hóa averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Nam Dinh averaged 1.14 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Thanh Hóa and 1.40 from Nam Dinh. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 45%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Thanh Hóa (green) and Nam Dinh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Nam Dinh Win | 48% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.