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Regionalliga - SudWest · Germany
Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hessen Kassel host VfR Mannheim in the Regionalliga - SudWest (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hessen Kassel 0–3 VfR Mannheim.
Going into the match, Hessen Kassel had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 21. VfR Mannheim had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Hessen Kassel's last 10 and 5 of VfR Mannheim's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hessen Kassel averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home VfR Mannheim averaged 1.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Hessen Kassel and 1.92 from VfR Mannheim. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 56%, against 33%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hessen Kassel (green) and VfR Mannheim (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hessen Kassel | WDLDW | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
| VfR Mannheim | WWWWD | 1.50 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance X2 | 67% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.72 |
| VfR Mannheim Win | 44% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.33 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - SudWest matches that day
- VfR Aalen vs FC Astoria Walldorf · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Kaiserslautern II · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - SGV Freiberg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: SGV Freiberg Win - FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.41 - Stuttgarter Kickers vs TSV Steinbach · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - SudWest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.27 · FT 3–1