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Super League · China
Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Henan Jianye host Beijing Guoan in the Super League (China) on 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Henan Jianye had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Beijing Guoan had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Henan Jianye's last 10 and 5 of Beijing Guoan's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Henan Jianye averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Beijing Guoan averaged 1.86 scored and 0.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Henan Jianye and 1.79 from Beijing Guoan. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 54%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Henan Jianye (green) and Beijing Guoan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye | LDDDD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 40% |
| Beijing Guoan | WWWWD | 2.20 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Beijing Guoan 1–2 Henan Jianye
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League matches that day
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.80 - Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36