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Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chongqing Tongliang Long host Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League (China) on 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chongqing Tongliang Long had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Qingdao Jonoon had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 10 and 5 of Qingdao Jonoon's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chongqing Tongliang Long averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Qingdao Jonoon averaged 1.29 scored and 2.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.97 from Qingdao Jonoon. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 22%, against 76%, 17% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chongqing Tongliang Long (green) and Qingdao Jonoon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | DDLLD | 0.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 20% |
| Qingdao Jonoon | LLLLL | 0.50 | 2.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long Win | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long HT & FT | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long form and statistics
- Qingdao Jonoon form and statistics
- Super League statistics
Other Super League matches that day
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.80 - Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng · 24 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · Super League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36