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League One · China
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shenzhen Juniors prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Heilongjiang Lava Spring host Shenzhen Juniors in the League One (China) on 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Heilongjiang Lava Spring had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Shenzhen Juniors had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 10 and 7 of Shenzhen Juniors's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shenzhen Juniors averaged 1.54 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.79 from Shenzhen Juniors. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Heilongjiang Lava Spring (green) and Shenzhen Juniors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | LWLDD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Shenzhen Juniors | LDDLD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · Shenzhen Juniors 3–3 Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Heilongjiang Lava Spring form and statistics
- Shenzhen Juniors form and statistics
- League One statistics
Other League One matches that day
- Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugou · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Meizhou Kejia vs Shaanxi Union · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Shaanxi Union Draw No Bet @ 1.20 - Nanjing City vs Dalian Huayi · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Hebei Kungfu vs Guangzhou E-Power · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Suzhou Dongwu Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Dongguan United vs Ningbo Professional · 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36