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League One · China

Dongguan United vs Ningbo Professional prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC · Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center, Foshan

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dongguan United host Ningbo Professional in the League One (China) on 31 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Dongguan United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 29. Ningbo Professional had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Dongguan United's last 10 and 4 of Ningbo Professional's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dongguan United averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ningbo Professional averaged 1.15 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Dongguan United and 1.62 from Ningbo Professional. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 53%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dongguan United (green) and Ningbo Professional (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence27% – 73%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals0% – 100%
Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Dongguan UnitedLLLWD0.902.9060%70%
Ningbo ProfessionalLDDLL0.701.3040%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
Ningbo Professional Win57%1.57
Over 8.5 Corners56%1.67
BTTS Yes53%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals53%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other League One matches that day