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1. Division · Denmark
HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
HB Koge host AB Copenhagen in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: HB Koge 2–3 AB Copenhagen.
Going into the match, HB Koge had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. AB Copenhagen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of HB Koge's last 10 and 4 of AB Copenhagen's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HB Koge averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home AB Copenhagen averaged 2.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from HB Koge and 1.68 from AB Copenhagen. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 52%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between HB Koge (green) and AB Copenhagen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Koge | WWDDD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
| AB Copenhagen | WWWLL | 1.70 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1