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1. Division · Denmark

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.53Market probability 63%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Aarhus Fremad host Esbjerg in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Aarhus Fremad 0–0 Esbjerg.

Going into the match, Aarhus Fremad had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Esbjerg had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Aarhus Fremad's last 10 and 6 of Esbjerg's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Esbjerg averaged 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Aarhus Fremad and 0.94 from Esbjerg. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 30%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Aarhus Fremad (green) and Esbjerg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%
Attack38% – 63%
Defence65% – 35%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Aarhus FremadLLDDW0.800.8040%30%
EsbjergDLWDL1.902.0060%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Double Chance 1274%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.28
BTTS Yes63%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals62%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals60%1.57
Aarhus Fremad Win43%2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 1. Division matches that day