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1. Division · Denmark
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aarhus Fremad host Esbjerg in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aarhus Fremad 0–0 Esbjerg.
Going into the match, Aarhus Fremad had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Esbjerg had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Aarhus Fremad's last 10 and 6 of Esbjerg's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Esbjerg averaged 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Aarhus Fremad and 0.94 from Esbjerg. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 30%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aarhus Fremad (green) and Esbjerg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | LLDDW | 0.80 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
| Esbjerg | DLWDL | 1.90 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Jul 2026 · Esbjerg 2–0 Aarhus Fremad
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Aarhus Fremad Win | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–3 - Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1