Home › League stats › 3. Liga › Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
3. Liga · Germany
Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hansa Rostock host Fortuna Düsseldorf in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hansa Rostock had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Fortuna Düsseldorf had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hansa Rostock's last 10 and 6 of Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hansa Rostock averaged 2.42 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Fortuna Düsseldorf averaged 2.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Hansa Rostock and 1.87 from Fortuna Düsseldorf. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 46%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | LLWDW | 1.40 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | LWDLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Liga matches that day
- Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53