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Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Sweden
Haninge vs Nacka Iliria prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Haninge host Nacka Iliria in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Haninge 4–5 Nacka Iliria.
Going into the match, Haninge had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 26. Nacka Iliria had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Haninge's last 10 and 5 of Nacka Iliria's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Haninge averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nacka Iliria averaged 1.18 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.23 goals from Haninge and 1.65 from Nacka Iliria. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 16%, against 64%, 19% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Haninge (green) and Nacka Iliria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haninge | DWWLL | 2.10 | 2.60 | 80% | 90% |
| Nacka Iliria | LWWLD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Nacka Iliria 1–5 Haninge
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| Haninge Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Haninge HT & FT | 46% | 2.00 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.