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Premier League · Ethiopia
Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hadiya Hosaena host Bahardar in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Bahardar to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Hadiya Hosaena 0–1 Bahardar.
Going into the match, Hadiya Hosaena had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Bahardar had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hadiya Hosaena's last 10 and 3 of Bahardar's last 10; 0 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hadiya Hosaena averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bahardar averaged 1.17 scored and 0.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.64 goals from Hadiya Hosaena and 0.81 from Bahardar. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 35%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hadiya Hosaena (green) and Bahardar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadiya Hosaena | DDWLD | 0.60 | 0.50 | 30% | 0% |
| Bahardar | DLDLD | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.