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Damallsvenskan · Sweden
Häcken W vs Hammarby W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Häcken W host Hammarby W in the Damallsvenskan (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Häcken W 3–0 Hammarby W.
Going into the match, Häcken W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 6. Hammarby W had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Häcken W's last 10 and 3 of Hammarby W's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Häcken W averaged 3.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hammarby W averaged 1.83 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Häcken W and 0.94 from Hammarby W. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 30%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Häcken W (green) and Hammarby W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Häcken W | WLWLW | 3.00 | 0.60 | 20% | 60% |
| Hammarby W | WWWWL | 2.50 | 0.40 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Hammarby W 0–1 Häcken W
- 16 May 2026 · Hammarby W 0–0 Häcken W
- 1 May 2026 · Häcken W 3–2 Hammarby W
- 25 Apr 2026 · Hammarby W 0–1 Häcken W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.