Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Hamrun Spartans WinOdds 1.33Market probability 68%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gzira United host Hamrun Spartans in the Premier League (Malta) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hamrun Spartans Win — Hamrun Spartans to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Gzira United 2–2 Hamrun Spartans.

Going into the match, Gzira United had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 17. Hamrun Spartans had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Gzira United's last 10 and 6 of Hamrun Spartans's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gzira United averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Hamrun Spartans averaged 1.67 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Gzira United and 1.66 from Hamrun Spartans. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 57%, against 12%, 21% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gzira United (green) and Hamrun Spartans (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form21% – 79%

Attack27% – 73%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength36% – 63%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Gzira United	DDDLL	0.60	1.70	50%	40%
Hamrun Spartans	DWWWD	1.50	1.10	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Apr 2026 · Hamrun Spartans 0–1 Gzira United

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.32
Hamrun Spartans Win	68%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.44
BTTS No	54%	1.70
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.05
Hamrun Spartans HT & FT	46%	2.00
0-2	14%	6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.