Floriana vs Mosta prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Floriana WinOdds 1.67Market probability 60%Final score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Floriana host Mosta in the Premier League (Malta) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Floriana Win — Floriana to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Floriana 3–3 Mosta.

Going into the match, Floriana had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 12. Mosta had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Floriana's last 10 and 6 of Mosta's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Floriana averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Mosta averaged 1.13 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Floriana and 1.24 from Mosta. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 21%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Floriana (green) and Mosta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals77% – 23%

Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Floriana	DWLLW	1.90	1.20	60%	40%
Mosta	DDLDW	1.20	1.30	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	78%	1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.48
Floriana Win	60%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.75
BTTS Yes	52%	1.74
Under 2.5 Goals	45%	2.05
Floriana HT & FT	36%	2.60
1-0	12%	8.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.