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FAW Championship · Wales
Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guilsfield host Denbigh Town in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guilsfield 0–2 Denbigh Town.
Going into the match, Guilsfield had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Denbigh Town had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Guilsfield's last 10 and 8 of Denbigh Town's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guilsfield averaged 2.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Denbigh Town averaged 1.29 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Guilsfield and 1.32 from Denbigh Town. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 28%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guilsfield (green) and Denbigh Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilsfield | WWDLW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Denbigh Town | LLWLL | 1.80 | 2.30 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Guilsfield Win | 54% | 1.60 |
| Guilsfield HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.