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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guarani U20 host Sfera U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guarani U20 1–0 Sfera U20.
Going into the match, Guarani U20 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Sfera U20 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Guarani U20's last 10 and 5 of Sfera U20's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guarani U20 averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sfera U20 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Guarani U20 and 0.92 from Sfera U20. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guarani U20 (green) and Sfera U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani U20 | LWDWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Sfera U20 | WWLLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Oct 2026 · Sfera U20 2–1 Guarani U20
- 3 Jul 2026 · Guarani U20 2–0 Sfera U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Guarani U20 Win | 53% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.