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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guarani U20 host Corinthians U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guarani U20 2–2 Corinthians U20.
Going into the match, Guarani U20 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Corinthians U20 had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Guarani U20's last 10 and 3 of Corinthians U20's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guarani U20 averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Corinthians U20 averaged 1.33 scored and 0.73 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Guarani U20 and 1.07 from Corinthians U20. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guarani U20 (green) and Corinthians U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani U20 | WLWDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Corinthians U20 | WDWWW | 2.30 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Corinthians U20 Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.