Guadiana vs Jerez prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Guadiana host Jerez in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Jerez to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Guadiana 1–4 Jerez.

Going into the match, Guadiana had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Jerez had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Guadiana's last 5 and 4 of Jerez's last 9; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadiana averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Jerez averaged 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Guadiana and 1.83 from Jerez. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 62%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Guadiana (green) and Jerez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

• Guadiana form and statistics
• Jerez form and statistics
• Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 statistics