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Liga MX · Mexico

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 01:07 UTC · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara

The PunterPick prediction

Atlante FC +2.5 Asian HandicapOdds 1.23Market probability 77%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Guadalajara Chivas host Atlante FC in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 1 Nov 2026, 01:07 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Atlante FC +2.5 Asian Handicap — Atlante FC +2.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Guadalajara Chivas had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Atlante FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Guadalajara Chivas's last 10 and 5 of Atlante FC's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Atlante FC averaged 0.92 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Guadalajara Chivas and 0.64 from Atlante FC. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 14%, against 64%, 20% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Guadalajara Chivas (green) and Atlante FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%
Attack40% – 60%
Defence64% – 36%
Overall strength57% – 43%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Guadalajara ChivasWWDDW1.500.7040%30%
Atlante FCLWLLW0.901.5050%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No77%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.28
Guadalajara Chivas Win65%1.48
Under 3.5 Goals61%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals60%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals59%1.57
BTTS Yes55%1.75
Over 10.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Liga MX matches that day